The mainland reported over 855 K new cases and 2,775 deaths yesterday, surpassing 64.9 M total cases (64,917,692) and 849 K deaths (849,238). Below are the individual US states numbers, shown both as cumulative (red line, left axis) and daily new cases (blue bars; blue lines are 7-day averages). We now are in the midst of a massive surge with most states reporting massively increased numbers over the previous week. HI has also slightly decreased case numbers this week compared to last.
Analysis Plots
In the summary bar graphs below I am analyzing the changes in positive cases by plotting 4 data sets:
A. the percentage change in positive cases (red is increase, green is decrease) assessed by the 7-day average of the past week over the 7-day average of the prior week. You can see that most of the states report significantly higher case numbers. HI also has large case numbers but slightly lower this week compared to last week.
B. here I simply plotted the change in the number of total tests. Testing has gone up in most of the states (red bars), while just a few states have stable or reduced number of tests (green bars). HI has increased testing this week compared to last (over 20%).
C. here I first plot the percentage of positive tests (positivity rate) of the previous and the current week (blue and red bars, respectively) to show the change over the past two weeks. HI has slightly decreased positivity rates this week (now at 20%).
D. finally, I subtracted the changes in total tests (%) from the change in positive cases (%) to arrive at the net change of positive cases corrected for simple test increases/decreases. With this correction, we see that some states show increased numbers, whereas others have stabilized or decreased their positivity. HI has seen a decrease this week compared to last.
A. the percentage change in positive cases (red is increase, green is decrease) assessed by the 7-day average of the past week over the 7-day average of the prior week. You can see that most of the states report significantly higher case numbers. HI also has large case numbers but slightly lower this week compared to last week.
B. here I simply plotted the change in the number of total tests. Testing has gone up in most of the states (red bars), while just a few states have stable or reduced number of tests (green bars). HI has increased testing this week compared to last (over 20%).
C. here I first plot the percentage of positive tests (positivity rate) of the previous and the current week (blue and red bars, respectively) to show the change over the past two weeks. HI has slightly decreased positivity rates this week (now at 20%).
D. finally, I subtracted the changes in total tests (%) from the change in positive cases (%) to arrive at the net change of positive cases corrected for simple test increases/decreases. With this correction, we see that some states show increased numbers, whereas others have stabilized or decreased their positivity. HI has seen a decrease this week compared to last.
Population-Corrected Plots
Finally, I am plotting the numbers for individual states corrected for their population in terms of numbers per 10,000 people. HI is now amongst the states in the nation with relatively large surges.
Stay safe, -Reinhold
🦠💉 Vaccination Info for HI: https://hawaiicovid19.com/vaccine/
🏥💉 Queen’s Vaccinations at COVID-19 Care Center: https://covid.queens.org/vaccination/
🦠🔔 AlohaSafe Alert app: https://www.alohasafealert.org
Free Local COVID-19 Testing Sites: https://www.doineedacovid19test.com/
Reopening Strategy for HI: https://www.oneoahu.org/reopening-strategy
DoH Dashboard for HI: https://hawaiicovid19.com/dashboard/
Current Situation in HI: https://health.hawaii.gov/coronavirusdisease2019/what-you-should-know/current-situation-in-hawaii/
Tracking COVID-19 in HI: https://www.hawaiidata.org/covid19
COVID Tracking Project HI: https://covidtracking.com/data/state/hawaii#historical
Effective Reproduction Rate (Rt): https://epiforecasts.io/covid/posts/national/united-states/
IHME COVID-19 Projections for HI: https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america/hawaii
JHU COVID-19 Resource Center: https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/
CDC COVID Data Tracker: https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker
SARS-CoV-2 Variant Classifications and Definitions: https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/variant-surveillance/variant-info.html
NPR COVID Tracker: https://www.npr.org/sections/health-shots/2020/09/01/816707182/map-tracking-the-spread-of-the-coronavirus-in-the-u-s
BNO Twitter Feed World: https://twitter.com/BNODesk
Bloomberg Vaccine Tracker: https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/covid-vaccine-tracker-global-distribution/
Time Vaccine Tracker: https://time.com/collection/coronavirus-vaccines-updates
🦠💉 Vaccination Info for HI: https://hawaiicovid19.com/vaccine/
🏥💉 Queen’s Vaccinations at COVID-19 Care Center: https://covid.queens.org/vaccination/
🦠🔔 AlohaSafe Alert app: https://www.alohasafealert.org
Free Local COVID-19 Testing Sites: https://www.doineedacovid19test.com/
Reopening Strategy for HI: https://www.oneoahu.org/reopening-strategy
DoH Dashboard for HI: https://hawaiicovid19.com/dashboard/
Current Situation in HI: https://health.hawaii.gov/coronavirusdisease2019/what-you-should-know/current-situation-in-hawaii/
Tracking COVID-19 in HI: https://www.hawaiidata.org/covid19
COVID Tracking Project HI: https://covidtracking.com/data/state/hawaii#historical
Effective Reproduction Rate (Rt): https://epiforecasts.io/covid/posts/national/united-states/
IHME COVID-19 Projections for HI: https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america/hawaii
JHU COVID-19 Resource Center: https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/
CDC COVID Data Tracker: https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker
SARS-CoV-2 Variant Classifications and Definitions: https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/variant-surveillance/variant-info.html
NPR COVID Tracker: https://www.npr.org/sections/health-shots/2020/09/01/816707182/map-tracking-the-spread-of-the-coronavirus-in-the-u-s
BNO Twitter Feed World: https://twitter.com/BNODesk
Bloomberg Vaccine Tracker: https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/covid-vaccine-tracker-global-distribution/
Time Vaccine Tracker: https://time.com/collection/coronavirus-vaccines-updates